The SIPA

The Blog Of The Securities Industry Professional Association
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Archive for June, 2009

RECOVERY OR RELAPSE?

With each passing day we read and hear about the vital signs of the economy like it was a patient at a hospital on life support. Every little sign of improvement seems to be accompanied by pundit’s proclamations that the worst is behind us. Even bearish commentators like me have admitted to seeing signs of life that the economy is improving and that capital formation appears to be gaining some legs. Are we to believe that this 2000 point rally in the market as well as surging oil prices is a sign the recession is over? Well, take a deep breath and brace yourself for what I’m about to say:
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